Fano vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 0
CAS
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FAN
0 - 2
ANC
21%
25%
55%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
FAN
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FAN
2 - 1
JES
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SSS
4 - 0
GIU
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIU
2 - 1
REC
28%
28%
44%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GIU
1 - 2
REC
31%
29%
40%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 0
GIU
39%
24%
36%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GIU
1 - 2
MAC
27%
26%
46%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |