Fano vs Bellaria Igea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
FAN
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 3
MAN
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
USA
2 - 0
FAN
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 0
ASS
14%
23%
64%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FAN
87%
10%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIN
2 - 0
CAS
34%
27%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 0
VIN
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 2
FCC
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
USA
3 - 1
VIN
74%
18%
9%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VIN
0 - 3
ACG
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |