Fanfulla vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
FAN
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
2 - 0
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
FAN
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
FAN
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FAN
3 - 0
USB
49%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VCB
0 - 1
DES
46%
22%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
SCA
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ADR
2 - 0
DES
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DES
0 - 0
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |