Copa Simón Bolívar . Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Fancesa vs Real Tomayapo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
62.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fancesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
4 - 2
TFU
77%
13%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
TFU
1 - 1
FAN
18%
19%
64%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
FAN
56%
22%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
2 - 1
FAT
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
DRT
3 - 1
FAN
82%
13%
5%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Real Tomayapo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DRT
1 - 0
COC
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
COC
1 - 1
DRT
8%
21%
71%
|
68 | 25 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
DRT
5 - 0
HUA
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
HUA
2 - 1
DRT
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
DRT
3 - 1
FAN
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | +1 |