Copa Simón Bolívar . 1/16
Global 4-4
Fancesa vs Real Tomayapo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
21.9%
69.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
17%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fancesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
IND
2 - 1
FAN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
7 - 0
CRM
94%
5%
1%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FAN
4 - 3
IND
8%
20%
72%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CRM
1 - 2
FAN
4%
10%
86%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
FAN
85%
12%
4%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Real Tomayapo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
DRT
1 - 1
GAR
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
DRT
1 - 0
QVM
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BER
0 - 1
DRT
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GAR
0 - 0
DRT
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
QVM
1 - 0
DRT
9%
21%
71%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |