Fancesa vs Atlético de Padilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
3.84
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.2%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
+6
7.8%
5-0
9.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
12.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
1.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fancesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
FAN
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
DRT
2 - 1
FAN
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
3 - 1
DRT
14%
24%
63%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
FAN
4 - 2
TFU
77%
13%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
TFU
1 - 1
FAN
18%
19%
64%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Padilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
4 - 0
ADP
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |