Famalicão vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 3
FAM
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FAM
0 - 1
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 1
FAM
75%
18%
8%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 0
PAÇ
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 4
FAM
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
TON
2 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 3
TON
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
TON
0 - 2
FCP
10%
18%
72%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
TON
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
TON
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |