Famalicão vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FAM
0 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
FAM
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 1
SCP
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
FAM
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 2
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 1
PEN
13%
23%
64%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAS
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |