Falkenbergs vs Trollhattan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
8º
1º
14
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 69 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 52 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 52 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 43 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 43 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 42 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 40 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 36 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 33 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 30 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 21 |
16º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
94.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falkenbergs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FAL
5 - 0
TIK
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HEL
2 - 1
FAL
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
FAL
5 - 1
STA
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
1 - 1
FAL
21%
21%
58%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FAL
3 - 0
IFB
89%
8%
3%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Trollhattan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 0
GAU
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
SKO
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
TIK
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 0
STE
86%
9%
4%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LJU
2 - 1
TRO
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |