Sergipano Temporada Regular. Jor. 3

Falcon FC vs Dorense analysis

Falcon FC Dorense
35 ELO 30
-5.3% Tilt -9.7%
5370º General ELO ranking 8303º
216º Country ELO ranking 338º
ELO win probability
50%
Falcon FC
22.7%
Draw
27.3%
Dorense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
Falcon FC
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.3%
Win probability
Dorense
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Falcon FC
+35%
+14%
Dorense

ELO progression

Falcon FC
Dorense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Falcon FC
Falcon FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
LAG
Lagarto
1 - 0
Falcon FC
FFC
66%
20%
14%
35 48 13 0
15 Jan. 2023
FFC
Falcon FC
3 - 3
Frei Paulistano
AFP
52%
22%
26%
35 27 8 0
09 Apr. 2022
SER
Sergipe
1 - 1
Falcon FC
FFC
65%
20%
16%
34 45 11 +1
07 Apr. 2022
FFC
Falcon FC
1 - 2
Sergipe
SER
26%
24%
50%
35 44 9 -1
03 Apr. 2022
FFC
Falcon FC
1 - 1
Confiança
CON
10%
18%
72%
35 61 26 0

Matches

Dorense
Dorense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
DOR
Dorense
0 - 1
Itabaiana
ITA
17%
22%
61%
32 45 13 0
14 Jan. 2023
SER
Sergipe
1 - 0
Dorense
DOR
74%
16%
10%
32 47 15 0
22 Oct. 2022
EST
Estanciano
0 - 1
Dorense
DOR
31%
23%
46%
32 24 8 0
19 Oct. 2022
DOR
Dorense
2 - 2
Estanciano
EST
48%
23%
29%
32 24 8 0
15 Oct. 2022
DOR
Dorense
1 - 1
Rosario Central SE
ROS
58%
22%
20%
32 21 11 0
X