FNL . Jor. 29

Fakel vs Zenit II analysis

Fakel Zenit II
53 ELO 54
-11.1% Tilt -13.1%
1294º General ELO ranking 5981º
16º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Fakel
26.3%
Draw
34.1%
Zenit II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
Fakel
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34%
Win probability
Zenit II
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fakel
+12%
-2%
Zenit II

ELO progression

Fakel
Zenit II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fakel
Fakel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2018
YEN
Yenisey
1 - 0
Fakel
FAK
77%
16%
7%
54 73 19 0
10 Mar. 2018
FAK
Fakel
0 - 1
Baltika Kaliningrad
BAL
35%
29%
36%
55 60 5 -1
05 Mar. 2018
SPA
Spartak Moskva II
0 - 0
Fakel
FAK
65%
21%
14%
54 61 7 +1
25 Nov. 2017
FAK
Fakel
1 - 2
Tambov
TAM
25%
28%
47%
54 65 11 0
18 Nov. 2017
GAZ
FC Orenburg
5 - 0
Fakel
FAK
70%
21%
9%
55 75 20 -1

Matches

Zenit II
Zenit II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2018
ZEN
Zenit II
0 - 4
Avangard Kursk
AVA
50%
25%
25%
55 58 3 0
10 Mar. 2018
ZEN
Zenit II
0 - 3
Yenisey
YEN
24%
25%
52%
56 72 16 -1
04 Mar. 2018
BAL
Baltika Kaliningrad
0 - 1
Zenit II
ZEN
51%
26%
23%
55 61 6 +1
24 Nov. 2017
ZEN
Zenit II
1 - 1
Spartak Moskva II
SPA
36%
24%
40%
54 60 6 +1
19 Nov. 2017
TAM
Tambov
3 - 1
Zenit II
ZEN
63%
22%
16%
55 64 9 -1
X