Fakel vs Metallurg Lipetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
FAK
0 - 0
EGY
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1993 |
FAK
1 - 0
NAL
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1993 |
KUB
1 - 0
FAK
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1993 |
SUA
2 - 1
FAK
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
FAK
2 - 2
FKT
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
MET
4 - 0
NAL
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1993 |
MET
2 - 1
EGY
49%
27%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1993 |
SUA
3 - 1
MET
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1993 |
KUB
1 - 0
MET
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1993 |
MET
3 - 0
APM
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |