Fajr Sepasi vs Esteghlal Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
55.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
FAJ
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
FAJ
0 - 1
GOH
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NAS
1 - 0
FAJ
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
OXI
0 - 3
FAJ
19%
27%
54%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
FAJ
3 - 0
SHA
40%
30%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
ZOB
0 - 2
EST
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
SPF
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
EST
0 - 2
ALH
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
FOO
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |