Fairford Town FC vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fairford Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
FAI
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
WAN
0 - 3
FAI
20%
20%
61%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FAI
0 - 2
LON
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WES
1 - 2
FAI
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FAI
1 - 2
WRF
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
HIG
0 - 2
WOR
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 1
SLI
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WOR
4 - 0
WOO
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
HER
1 - 5
WOR
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
COR
2 - 3
WOR
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |