Fairford Town FC vs Tuffley Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+145%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fairford Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
WOR
3 - 3
FAI
62%
19%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
WRF
1 - 3
FAI
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FAI
1 - 0
CIN
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
FAI
1 - 1
WOR
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
FAI
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tuffley Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
TUF
0 - 1
COR
18%
19%
64%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 5
TUF
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +3 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LON
1 - 3
TUF
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
WAN
2 - 3
TUF
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TUF
1 - 1
THO
39%
21%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |