Fagiano Okayama vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
1 - 0
FAG
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
FAG
1 - 1
JUB
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
VVA
5 - 0
FAG
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
FAG
1 - 0
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
KYO
2 - 1
FAG
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TOC
1 - 3
MIT
27%
28%
44%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
GIR
1 - 0
TOC
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TOK
2 - 0
TOC
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
TOC
1 - 0
KYO
30%
28%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 0
TOC
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |