Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OIT
0 - 1
FAG
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FAG
3 - 0
GIF
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
KAT
0 - 3
FAG
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FAG
1 - 1
ROA
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
YOK
0 - 2
FAG
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
OMI
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOK
1 - 1
CER
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
OMI
2 - 0
CER
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CER
1 - 4
KAA
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VEG
3 - 3
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |