Fafe vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FAM
0 - 2
FAF
54%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FAF
5 - 0
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIZ
1 - 0
FAF
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 0
TIR
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 3
FAF
17%
22%
60%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
RIB
63%
24%
13%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 0
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAR
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 5
CHA
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
32%
30%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |