Fafe vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
6º
5º
14
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 1
ANA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AMA
0 - 0
FAF
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAO
4 - 1
FAF
41%
28%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 0
BRA
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 2
FAF
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
1DE
1 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ACA
1 - 2
1DE
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
1DE
0 - 0
SCP
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
USA
1 - 0
1DE
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
1DE
2 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |