Coppa Titano Quarter-finals
Global 1-6
Faetano vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
77.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 0
JUV
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 1
DOM
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FAE
3 - 1
LIB
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 2
COS
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FAE
31%
21%
48%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 7
VIR
7%
18%
75%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 3
VIR
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
FOL
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 2
COS
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |