Faetano vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
12º
47
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TFI
4 - 0
FAE
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FAE
1 - 1
TFI
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 1
FAE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 2
FAE
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
FAE
1 - 1
SGI
59%
23%
17%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
TPE
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
TPE
2 - 0
LIB
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 3
LIB
33%
27%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
LIB
5 - 0
DOM
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |