Campeonato de Portugal Jor. 17

Fabril Barreiro vs Pinhalnovense analysis

Fabril Barreiro Pinhalnovense
45 ELO 43
4.7% Tilt 1.1%
5650º General ELO ranking 20566º
94º Country ELO ranking 293º
ELO win probability
63.5%
Fabril Barreiro
20.6%
Draw
15.9%
Pinhalnovense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
Fabril Barreiro
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
Pinhalnovense
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Fabril Barreiro
Pinhalnovense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fabril Barreiro
Fabril Barreiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2015
UNI
União Montemor
3 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
39%
25%
36%
47 45 2 0
28 Dec. 2014
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
1 - 0
Loures
LOU
63%
20%
17%
47 43 4 0
21 Dec. 2014
SAC
Sacavenense
1 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
40%
25%
35%
47 45 2 0
14 Dec. 2014
SIN
Sintrense
1 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
35%
25%
40%
47 42 5 0
07 Dec. 2014
1DE
1º Dezembro
2 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
43%
25%
32%
48 47 1 -1

Matches

Pinhalnovense
Pinhalnovense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2015
PIN
Pinhalnovense
0 - 1
1º Dezembro
1DE
37%
27%
37%
44 49 5 0
28 Dec. 2014
ATL
Atlético Malveira
2 - 4
Pinhalnovense
PIN
51%
25%
25%
43 42 1 +1
21 Dec. 2014
PIN
Pinhalnovense
2 - 0
Cova Piedade
COV
37%
26%
38%
41 45 4 +2
14 Dec. 2014
CAS
Casa Pia AC
0 - 0
Pinhalnovense
PIN
57%
24%
19%
41 46 5 0
07 Dec. 2014
PIN
Pinhalnovense
2 - 0
Sintrense
SIN
38%
26%
36%
39 43 4 +2
X