Fabril Barreiro vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALJ
2 - 1
FAB
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 5
LOU
25%
26%
49%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -3 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
FAB
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIA
7 - 3
FAB
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 2
MOU
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 2
ARM
77%
15%
7%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 0
VIA
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALJ
2 - 1
ORI
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 2
REA
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
1DE
0 - 0
ORI
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |