Fabril Barreiro vs Lagoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17.9%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PES
2 - 0
FAB
11%
22%
67%
|
70 | 25 | 45 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FAB
2 - 0
ALJ
84%
13%
4%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
FAB
0 - 1
FAF
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +8 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
FAB
4 - 3
VIT
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
LEX
3 - 2
FAB
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALJ
1 - 1
LAG
58%
22%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 1
SES
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LAG
0 - 0
TOR
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 58 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 0
LAG
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |