Primeira Liga round 10

Fabril Barreiro vs Benfica analysis

Fabril Barreiro Benfica
67 ELO 86
2.8% Tilt -12.1%
3806º General ELO ranking 61º
137º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.7%
Fabril Barreiro
25%
Draw
47.4%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
Fabril Barreiro
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.4%
Win probability
Benfica
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fabril Barreiro
-41%
+14%
Benfica

ELO progression

Fabril Barreiro
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fabril Barreiro
Fabril Barreiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 1968
FCP
Porto
3 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
72%
18%
10%
66 84 18 0
10 Nov. 1968
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
4 - 3
Académica
ACA
31%
27%
43%
65 78 13 +1
03 Nov. 1968
UFT
Uniao Tomar
1 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
62%
21%
17%
65 69 4 0
13 Oct. 1968
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
64%
21%
15%
65 69 4 0
06 Oct. 1968
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
1 - 0
Sporting CP
SCP
25%
26%
49%
64 82 18 +1

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 1968
SLB
Benfica
0 - 0
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
86%
9%
5%
87 71 16 0
10 Nov. 1968
SCP
Sporting CP
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
37%
27%
36%
87 82 5 0
03 Nov. 1968
SLB
Benfica
4 - 3
Atlético CP
ATL
89%
8%
4%
87 54 33 0
13 Oct. 1968
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
Benfica
SLB
16%
23%
61%
87 55 32 0
06 Oct. 1968
SLB
Benfica
4 - 0
Leixões
LEX
86%
10%
4%
87 62 25 0