Primeira Liga round 21

Fabril Barreiro vs Benfica analysis

Fabril Barreiro Benfica
64 ELO 88
1.3% Tilt -9.5%
5969º General ELO ranking 76º
100º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.5%
Fabril Barreiro
24.4%
Draw
57.1%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
Fabril Barreiro
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
57.1%
Win probability
Benfica
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fabril Barreiro
-24%
+8%
Benfica

ELO progression

Fabril Barreiro
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fabril Barreiro
Fabril Barreiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1968
FCB
FC Barreirense
3 - 2
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
36%
29%
35%
63 48 15 0
10 Mar. 1968
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
1 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
42%
26%
33%
63 70 7 0
03 Mar. 1968
VAR
Varzim
0 - 2
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
54%
25%
21%
63 60 3 0
25 Feb. 1968
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
2 - 1
Porto
FCP
25%
26%
49%
61 84 23 +2
18 Feb. 1968
SCP
Sporting CP
4 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
76%
16%
9%
62 84 22 -1

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1968
SLB
Benfica
5 - 0
Tirsense
TIR
96%
3%
1%
88 57 31 0
24 Mar. 1968
SAN
AD Sanjoanense
1 - 2
Benfica
SLB
19%
21%
60%
88 57 31 0
17 Mar. 1968
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
AD Sanjoanense
SAN
91%
6%
3%
88 58 30 0
14 Mar. 1968
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Budapesti Vasas
VAS
83%
11%
6%
88 81 7 0
10 Mar. 1968
LEX
Leixões
0 - 2
Benfica
SLB
18%
24%
58%
88 64 24 0