Primeira Liga round 15

Fabril Barreiro vs Benfica analysis

Fabril Barreiro Benfica
74 ELO 88
5.3% Tilt -14.4%
5478º General ELO ranking 66º
143º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24%
Fabril Barreiro
21.9%
Draw
54.1%
Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
Fabril Barreiro
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.1%
Win probability
Benfica
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fabril Barreiro
-50%
+19%
Benfica

ELO progression

Fabril Barreiro
Benfica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fabril Barreiro
Fabril Barreiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 1966
LEX
Leixões
2 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
43%
26%
31%
75 62 13 0
02 Jan. 1966
FCB
FC Barreirense
0 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
33%
27%
41%
75 54 21 0
29 Dec. 1965
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
80%
13%
7%
75 88 13 0
26 Dec. 1965
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
2 - 0
Beira Mar SC
BMA
65%
19%
16%
75 65 10 0
19 Dec. 1965
SCP
Sporting CP
4 - 1
Fabril Barreiro
FAB
72%
17%
11%
76 86 10 -1

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 1966
SLB
Benfica
4 - 0
Académica
ACA
87%
9%
5%
88 71 17 0
02 Jan. 1966
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Os Belenenses
BEL
89%
8%
4%
88 74 14 0
26 Dec. 1965
VST
Vitória Setúbal
4 - 4
Benfica
SLB
25%
22%
53%
88 73 15 0
19 Dec. 1965
SLB
Benfica
4 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
91%
6%
3%
88 60 28 0
12 Dec. 1965
SLB
Benfica
4 - 2
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
86%
9%
5%
87 75 12 +1