Tartu Kalev vs Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FAT
1 - 3
TUL
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 3
FAT
57%
21%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FAT
6 - 0
FCP
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 1
TJK
28%
20%
52%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WEL
5 - 1
FAT
67%
17%
15%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FAT
6 - 0
FCP
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TUL
5 - 1
FCP
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 1
TAM
30%
22%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 2
NOM
9%
14%
78%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
HJP
4 - 0
FCP
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |