Extremadura vs Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TAL
2 - 2
EXT
19%
26%
56%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
VRU
1 - 1
EXT
21%
26%
53%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EXT
3 - 1
VIL
78%
16%
7%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CDB
2 - 1
EXT
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
EXT
0 - 0
DBN
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
DBN
38%
29%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UDS
0 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
VRU
44%
28%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |