Tigres FC vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 2
PER
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
TFC
62%
23%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TFC
3 - 2
REA
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RSC
1 - 0
TFC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
PER
2 - 2
FOR
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
35%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
FOR
23%
28%
49%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |