Exmouth Town vs Barnstaple Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exmouth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
EXM
1 - 2
SHA
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SHA
0 - 0
EXM
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Barnstaple Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BLA
3 - 1
BAR
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 4
STR
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
HIG
1 - 1
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
CIN
14%
20%
66%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |