Exeter City vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 0
EXE
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
EXE
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
EXE
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EXE
3 - 2
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
EXE
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 2
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 1
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
STE
1 - 1
WAL
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 2
CHE
32%
28%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |