Exeter City vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
COL
5 - 1
EXE
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
EXE
2 - 3
YEO
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 1
EXE
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
EXE
2 - 0
BOU
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POS
3 - 0
EXE
69%
18%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BHA
2 - 1
SWI
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HUR
0 - 0
SWI
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 1
DAG
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 0
SWI
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 0
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |