Exeter City vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
EXE
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 0
WHU
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EXE
3 - 1
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
EXE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EXE
5 - 1
NOT
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CUM
0 - 1
STE
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STE
1 - 0
GRI
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NOT
3 - 3
STE
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
STE
1 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STE
0 - 1
CAM
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |