Exeter City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 3
EXE
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 2
CAM
46%
27%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
EXE
3 - 2
CHE
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 4
EXE
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
EXE
0 - 0
GRI
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
LUT
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
MAN
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 2
LUT
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
CRE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
LUT
2 - 0
WBA
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | +1 |