Exeter City vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 0
WAL
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
2 - 0
EXE
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
EXE
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
EXE
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EXE
3 - 2
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
GRI
0 - 1
LEY
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LEY
1 - 3
TRA
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
LEY
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LEY
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LEY
0 - 0
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |