Exeter City vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
42%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
EXE
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 3
WYC
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 2
PNE
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MKD
3 - 0
EXE
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
EXE
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
WAL
3 - 1
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
STE
0 - 0
COL
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
HUR
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
SHE
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |