Excursionistas vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Play responsibly. 18+
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
3 - 1
YUP
66%
19%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 1
EXC
36%
25%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 4
MID
49%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CLA
1 - 0
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 0
ESP
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 0
ALE
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAA
26%
27%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YUP
1 - 4
ALE
64%
21%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 1
PUE
41%
27%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MID
1 - 0
ALE
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |