Excursionistas vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
EXC
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
SMA
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RPI
3 - 1
EXC
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 0
LAM
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
EXC
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 1
LIN
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MID
3 - 1
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
LUJ
1 - 1
ALE
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
ESP
17%
24%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CCO
3 - 0
ALE
52%
25%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |