Excursionistas vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SUA
0 - 3
EXC
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
RIE
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 0
SAC
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
CCO
1 - 2
EXC
25%
28%
47%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 2
ARQ
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TAL
2 - 2
EST
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
GOD
2 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 0
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
BAR
52%
27%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |