Excursionistas vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DOC
2 - 0
EXC
22%
26%
53%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 2
ALE
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
LAF
2 - 1
EXC
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 0
SMA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
JJU
2 - 1
EXC
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
ARQ
0 - 0
CAÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BER
3 - 1
ARQ
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ARQ
0 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
LUJ
1 - 0
ARQ
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
ARQ
1 - 1
ITA
52%
24%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |