Excelsior vs Cambuur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 0
ZWO
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
JUT
3 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 3
VOL
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
RJC
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
EXC
4 - 1
ALK
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cambuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
BVO
1 - 2
GAE
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BVO
2 - 0
ALK
84%
12%
5%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
TEL
1 - 2
BVO
14%
20%
66%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
PSV
0 - 1
BVO
12%
19%
69%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
BVO
3 - 1
BOS
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |