Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
BVO
7 - 2
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
HEL
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 0
JUT
72%
17%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 1
TEL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
NEC
33%
25%
43%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
FCO
2 - 1
NEC
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 0
VOL
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 0
PSV
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |