Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
1 - 1
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEL
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
VVV
1 - 0
EXC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
EXC
4 - 0
TEL
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
34%
25%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 3
APE
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2005 |
VVV
1 - 1
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOS
19%
22%
58%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
EIN
1 - 1
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
BVV
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |