Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
RBC
1 - 1
EXC
43%
24%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
4 - 2
SPA
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 3
WIL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 4
PSV
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
VCF
1 - 1
AJA
60%
23%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |