Eredivisie Round 20

Excelsior vs Ajax analysis

Excelsior Ajax
65 ELO 88
11.7% Tilt 0.4%
504º General ELO ranking 104º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.7%
Excelsior
21.6%
Draw
62.7%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
Excelsior
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.7%
Win probability
Ajax
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Excelsior
+4%
+4%
Ajax

ELO progression

Excelsior
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Feb. 1985
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
4 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
77%
14%
9%
66 74 8 0
16 Dec. 1984
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 1
HFC Haarlem
HFC
52%
24%
24%
67 72 5 -1
08 Dec. 1984
PSV
PSV
2 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
82%
12%
6%
67 88 21 0
02 Dec. 1984
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 2
FC Volendam
VOL
58%
22%
20%
68 68 0 -1
25 Nov. 1984
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
65%
20%
15%
68 72 4 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 1985
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
88%
8%
4%
87 74 13 0
03 Feb. 1985
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
15%
22%
63%
87 64 23 0
16 Dec. 1984
AJA
Ajax
1 - 4
PSV
PSV
67%
17%
16%
88 88 0 -1
09 Dec. 1984
VOL
FC Volendam
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
18%
22%
60%
88 69 19 0
02 Dec. 1984
AJA
Ajax
7 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
89%
7%
3%
88 72 16 0