Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
TEL
1 - 3
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
5%
11%
84%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
NEC
2 - 1
EXC
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1973 |
RMA
0 - 1
AJA
51%
24%
26%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
AJA
5 - 0
ADO
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BOS
1 - 2
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
RMA
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 0
TWE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |