Excelsior Virton vs Union Saint-Gilloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
67.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
LEU
1 - 0
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
EXC
0 - 2
CHA
8%
16%
77%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
EXC
5 - 0
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 4
SAA
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
F91
4 - 3
EXC
91%
8%
2%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 0
KSV
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 2
UNI
6%
11%
84%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
WAA
1 - 3
UNI
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
BRU
3 - 2
UNI
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
MTA
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |