Excelsior Virton vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
RWD
0 - 0
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
KSK
2 - 0
EXC
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
EXC
15%
20%
66%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 2
KVC
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
63%
20%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LOM
2 - 2
DEI
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MOU
0 - 1
LOM
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LOM
2 - 3
WAA
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
RKC
4 - 2
LOM
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LOM
1 - 2
MVV
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |