Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
12º
12º
38
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KRC
0 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 1
DEN
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DEI
1 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
EXC
22%
23%
56%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAA
2 - 2
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Beerschot VA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BEE
0 - 2
LOM
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRG
1 - 2
BEE
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BEE
2 - 3
KSK
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STL
2 - 2
BEE
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BEE
1 - 0
WAA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |