Excelsior Mouscron vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2005 |
GEN
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 1
RAA
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
KSK
2 - 2
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 1
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
STR
3 - 2
EXC
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
SDL
1 - 0
GNK
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
LOK
0 - 0
SDL
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
RWD
0 - 1
SDL
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
SDL
4 - 0
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 0
SDL
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |